The republican-leaning Gallup organization and other polling entities use some weird criteria known only to them and the hairy thunderer to pick their pollees (is that even a word?). I seriously doubt that they are talking to Olivia Smith, or her friends or family or friends of friends, because I'll bet the numbers would be a whole lot different.

Nov. 2 will be much more than Election Day for Oliva Smith, although the West Liberty woman plans to vote in what she calls the most important election of her lifetime.

" November 2nd is the anniversary of Bruce's death, and I hope to God the election turns out the way he would have wanted," Smith said about her husband, one of 15 Iowans killed in Iraq.
...
Bruce Smith, 41, died after a rocket attack on his helicopter west of Baghdad. That hasn't changed how Oliva Smith will vote - it has galvanized her opposition to the war and her plan to vote for Democrat John Kerry.

Those would be some numbers to see indeed.